Willy Serrato vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 0
WIL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 1
CAN
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LOS
3 - 0
WIL
55%
25%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SRP
2 - 1
WIL
41%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
CIE
2 - 1
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
CIE
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CIE
2 - 0
TAR
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 2
CIE
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 0
SPO
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |