Willy Serrato vs CA Manucci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
WIL
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 1
SBO
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 0
WIL
49%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
WIL
4 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LOS
3 - 2
WIL
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Manucci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MAN
6 - 1
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIE
2 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 0
AUN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
2 - 1
LOS
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |