Willy Serrato vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CIE
9 - 1
WIL
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 6
SRP
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
LOS
3 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 8
LOS
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
8 - 0
WIL
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AGP
6 - 2
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 2
AGP
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AGP
4 - 0
ALF
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
HUA
2 - 0
AGP
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
AGP
2 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |