Willy Serrato vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
WIL
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 3
LOS
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
SRP
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
WIL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
2 - 2
UNI
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AUN
1 - 1
SPO
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
AUN
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
AUN
3 - 0
TAR
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
AUN
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AUN
2 - 0
SPO
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |