Willy Serrato vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 1
WIL
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
HUA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 0
WIL
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -3 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 0
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
SBO
25%
26%
50%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALI
59%
22%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 4
SRP
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SPC
4 - 0
ALI
69%
20%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |