Willy Serrato vs Alfredo Salinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MAN
5 - 2
WIL
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 1
SPO
44%
24%
33%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 3
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SRP
4 - 2
WIL
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
SBO
1 - 1
WIL
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Alfredo Salinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ALF
5 - 1
SPO
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 0
ALF
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 1
ALF
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ALF
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
LOS
0 - 2
ALF
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |