Willy Serrato vs Academia Cantolao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willy Serrato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LOS
3 - 0
WIL
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
SRP
2 - 1
WIL
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
WIL
3 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 0
WIL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 0
TAR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Cantolao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 0
SPO
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAN
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 0
TAR
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
CAN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |