Willisau vs Taverne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
57.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 6
WIL
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 5
WIL
72%
15%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
KUS
4 - 3
WIL
44%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Taverne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
5 - 1
HER
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
45%
23%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TAV
2 - 0
IBA
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 3
TAV
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SAR
0 - 1
TAV
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |