Willisau vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
49.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
IBA
3 - 3
WIL
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 1
TAV
23%
20%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
PER
1 - 6
WIL
68%
17%
16%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCS
15%
17%
68%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 3
BRE
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
45%
23%
33%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
PER
3 - 3
LUG
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |