Willisau vs Kickers Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
ASC
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
6 - 1
WIL
71%
16%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
CAS
34%
22%
45%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
WIL
55%
20%
25%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
IBA
25%
22%
54%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Kickers Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LUZ
5 - 2
HOC
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
2 - 1
TEA
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 3
LUZ
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 1
CAS
23%
21%
56%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | +2 |