Willisau vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
GOL
2 - 1
WIL
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 1
ESC
38%
22%
39%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
SAR
2 - 1
WIL
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
WIL
5 - 2
GUN
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 5
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
IBA
2 - 1
HER
25%
22%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
BUO
1 - 3
IBA
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
IBA
1 - 2
TAV
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 2
IBA
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
IBA
6 - 1
GCB
66%
19%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |