Willisau vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TEA
1 - 1
WIL
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 2
WIL
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
7 - 2
KUS
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GOL
7 - 3
WIL
81%
11%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 4
BEL
14%
20%
67%
|
17 | 64 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 1
ASC
28%
23%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TAV
0 - 1
HOC
65%
19%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 1
SAR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
IBA
1 - 1
HOC
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 2
HER
28%
21%
51%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |