Willisau vs Hochdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
51%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
IBA
3 - 1
WIL
68%
18%
14%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 2
GOL
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 2
WIL
63%
19%
17%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 5
SAR
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUN
4 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 3
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BUO
4 - 2
HOC
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HOC
0 - 1
TAV
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
RUS
3 - 0
HOC
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HOC
2 - 0
GCB
56%
21%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |