Willisau vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
BUO
6 - 2
WIL
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 2
TAV
18%
21%
60%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RUS
2 - 2
WIL
78%
14%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
WIL
4 - 1
GCB
29%
23%
49%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 0
WIL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GUN
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
BUO
25%
21%
53%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 0
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
RUS
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GCB
0 - 3
HER
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |