Willisau vs Goldau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ESC
2 - 2
WIL
63%
19%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 5
SAR
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GUN
4 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
HER
4 - 2
WIL
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 6
BUO
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 2
HER
57%
20%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 0
GOL
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BUO
4 - 2
GOL
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GOL
1 - 5
TAV
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
2 - 3
GOL
38%
23%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |