Willisau vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willisau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
6 - 1
WIL
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 2
CAS
34%
22%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
WIL
55%
20%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
IBA
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
69%
16%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUZ
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
4 - 1
ESC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
ASC
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |