Willem II vs Xerxes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
ADO
6 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
FEY
5 - 1
WIL
78%
14%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Xerxes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
XER
4 - 0
PSV
31%
22%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 3
XER
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
XER
0 - 0
SPA
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 1
XER
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
XER
2 - 1
DWS
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |