UEFA Intertoto Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Willem II vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2003 |
VIT
2 - 0
WIL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 2
WIL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 5
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
DIN
65%
20%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 0
WIL
32%
26%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 2
THU
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
GCZ
4 - 2
WIL
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
NEX
47%
23%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |