Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 2
WIL
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
EXC
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 2
WIL
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 1
WIL
23%
25%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
HEL
1 - 2
VVV
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
VVV
1 - 0
SPA
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VVV
2 - 0
MVV
47%
24%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 0
VVV
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
VVV
2 - 0
ACH
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |