Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
22%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
PSV
3 - 2
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
NAC
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 0
FEY
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
FCB
2 - 0
WIL
57%
20%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
VVV
1 - 0
AJA
24%
21%
55%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
VOL
5 - 0
VVV
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
VVV
2 - 3
MVV
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
GRO
1 - 1
VVV
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
VVV
3 - 1
DWS
60%
21%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |