Willem II vs VVV Venlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
WIL
5 - 1
ELI
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
FOR
5 - 4
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
WIL
0 - 0
SPA
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VVV Venlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
VVV
4 - 1
ELI
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FOR
3 - 1
VVV
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VVV
3 - 3
SPA
50%
22%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
DWS
0 - 0
VVV
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1958 |
VVV
1 - 1
ADO
53%
21%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |