Willem II vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
OMO
2 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
WIL
2 - 1
SPA
45%
22%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 4
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ZWO
0 - 1
VIT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
ADO
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 2
ANZ
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 1
LPL
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |