Willem II vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
WIL
3 - 4
PSV
34%
24%
41%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
MVV
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
TEL
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1966 |
TEL
0 - 2
XER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
PSV
4 - 1
TEL
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
TEL
2 - 4
ADO
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
SIT
4 - 1
TEL
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
TEL
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |