Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
2 - 0
WIL
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 2
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WIL
1 - 3
SCH
32%
25%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HER
1 - 0
WIL
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRO
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HER
2 - 1
SPA
39%
25%
36%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TWE
6 - 2
SPA
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 0
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 3
SPA
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |