Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1995 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 3
NEC
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1995 |
GAE
4 - 2
WIL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1995 |
WIL
0 - 0
RJC
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
SPA
2 - 2
MVV
60%
21%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1995 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
SPA
3 - 1
GRO
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1995 |
WIL
1 - 0
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
SPA
2 - 0
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |