Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
MVV
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
TEL
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
PSV
5 - 2
WIL
65%
19%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 0
MVV
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 0
PSV
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
FOR
4 - 3
SPA
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
SPA
1 - 0
DWS
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1966 |
VVD
5 - 1
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
HER
3 - 1
SPA
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |