Willem II vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
HER
0 - 3
WIL
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
54%
22%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
MUD
6 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
WIL
1 - 1
MUD
42%
22%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
ADO
1 - 1
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 2
GRO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
ADO
2 - 2
SPA
56%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
SPA
1 - 1
VVD
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
MVV
2 - 0
SPA
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 2
DWS
39%
25%
35%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |