Willem II vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
WIL
1 - 1
FEY
16%
20%
63%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
2 - 1
WIL
30%
25%
46%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 2
WIL
13%
17%
70%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
3 - 2
SCH
60%
20%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
GVV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 1
KON
58%
21%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
SPA
35%
25%
41%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
IJS
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |