Willem II vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
DWS
0 - 2
WIL
47%
23%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
WIL
2 - 0
ENS
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
VVD
3 - 1
WIL
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
WIL
0 - 1
SPA
55%
21%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
DVO
2 - 1
WIL
48%
22%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
RJC
1 - 0
PSV
31%
22%
47%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
FOR
0 - 1
RJC
68%
18%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
RJC
2 - 5
NAC
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FEY
3 - 0
RJC
86%
9%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
RJC
1 - 2
AJA
18%
18%
64%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |