Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
SIT
1 - 1
WIL
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 3
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
MVV
2 - 2
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
TEL
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
PSV
5 - 2
WIL
65%
19%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1966 |
PSV
4 - 1
TEL
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1966 |
PSV
1 - 2
SIT
79%
12%
9%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
SPA
0 - 0
PSV
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
TWE
1 - 7
PSV
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1966 |
PSV
5 - 2
WIL
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |