Willem II vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
NAC
3 - 1
WIL
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
WIL
2 - 4
AJA
30%
21%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIL
62%
19%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
ELI
2 - 0
WIL
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 0
ADO
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1960 |
PSV
2 - 1
MVV
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
PSV
0 - 2
FEY
52%
21%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1960 |
NAC
1 - 3
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1960 |
AJA
6 - 2
PSV
58%
21%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
PSV
3 - 1
FOR
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |