Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
WIL
3 - 1
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
RJC
0 - 1
WIL
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
WIL
1 - 1
AZA
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
FEY
1 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
NEC
0 - 2
RJC
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
AZA
0 - 0
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 0
TWE
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
NEC
0 - 0
SCH
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
NEC
1 - 3
FEY
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |