Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 0
UTR
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1996 |
RKC
1 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
0 - 1
RJC
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
SPA
3 - 1
WIL
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 0
PSV
20%
21%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 2
FEY
12%
22%
65%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 3
NAC
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
PSV
4 - 1
NEC
91%
7%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 1
VIT
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |