Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
AJA
5 - 1
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
UTR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 2
GRO
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
92%
7%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
NEC
2 - 1
RKC
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |