Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
UTR
1 - 0
WIL
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
4 - 1
VOL
55%
24%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1990 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1990 |
WIL
2 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
GRO
4 - 1
WIL
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 2
VIT
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
SVV
1 - 0
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
NEC
0 - 0
ADO
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
AJA
7 - 0
NEC
86%
10%
4%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1990 |
NEC
3 - 1
SPA
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +2 |