Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
PSV
2 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
WIL
3 - 1
ZWO
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 0
AZA
17%
22%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
TWE
0 - 2
NEC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1982 |
NEC
3 - 1
ZWO
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
NEC
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |