Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
GAE
1 - 0
WIL
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
3 - 0
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
UTR
2 - 1
WIL
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 1
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 1
ZWO
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
TWE
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PSV
6 - 1
NAC
75%
16%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |