Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
45.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 1
GRO
33%
25%
42%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
WIL
2 - 3
FEY
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 1
WIL
76%
17%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 1
HER
52%
23%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
2 - 1
WIL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 0
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
6 - 0
NAC
71%
17%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
6 - 1
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PSV
3 - 1
NAC
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |