Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
PSV
1 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
BVV
4 - 5
WIL
32%
24%
45%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
WIL
3 - 0
RBC
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 3
AZA
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
ADO
0 - 3
NAC
6%
12%
82%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FEY
4 - 0
NAC
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
NAC
4 - 0
RJC
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
NEC
3 - 3
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |