Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
VIT
1 - 2
WIL
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 1
RJC
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
RKC
3 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
FEY
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
WIL
6 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEY
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCH
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2001 |
RJC
1 - 0
NAC
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2001 |
RKC
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |