Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 0
RKC
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1998 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1998 |
BET
3 - 0
WIL
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
MVV
1 - 1
WIL
33%
27%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1998 |
WIL
0 - 2
ZWO
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 2
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1998 |
BVO
3 - 1
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
NAC
2 - 0
MVV
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
SCH
2 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
83%
12%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |