Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
WAG
2 - 1
WIL
51%
24%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
MVV
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 2
RJC
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
GAE
4 - 2
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
WIL
0 - 1
UTR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 1
FEY
19%
25%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 2
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
MVV
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 0
NEC
58%
25%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 0
ZWO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |