Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 4
WIL
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 5
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 2
WIL
74%
14%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 4
FEY
30%
22%
48%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
VVV
1 - 2
WIL
66%
18%
17%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1961 |
NAC
0 - 2
VVD
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 2
NAC
36%
23%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
NAC
0 - 1
DWS
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
64%
18%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRO
63%
19%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |