Willem II vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1959 |
RAP
4 - 0
WIL
69%
16%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
WIL
1 - 2
TSV
69%
17%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
VVD
2 - 0
WIL
78%
12%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
WIL
3 - 1
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ENS
1 - 1
WIL
71%
15%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1959 |
NAC
1 - 1
ELI
69%
18%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1959 |
FOR
2 - 1
NAC
61%
18%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
NAC
0 - 3
SPA
47%
22%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
DWS
3 - 5
NAC
42%
23%
36%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
NAC
2 - 1
ADO
62%
19%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |