Willem II vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 5
WIL
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FCE
1 - 0
WIL
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
WIL
3 - 2
EIN
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
WIL
24%
23%
52%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
MVV
1 - 1
SPA
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 2
MVV
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
MVV
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
MVV
0 - 0
FCE
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TIE
1 - 3
MVV
13%
18%
68%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |