Willem II vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
AJA
3 - 1
WIL
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 3
ELI
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
FEY
6 - 1
WIL
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
4 - 0
TWE
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 2
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1966 |
MVV
1 - 0
GRO
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1966 |
ADO
4 - 0
MVV
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
MVV
5 - 0
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1966 |
DWS
4 - 1
MVV
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1966 |
MVV
2 - 4
SPA
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |