Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 5
RJC
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VVV
0 - 0
WIL
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 3
AJA
14%
18%
68%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
GRA
2 - 1
WIL
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
WIL
4 - 3
SCH
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 2
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HER
4 - 1
EXC
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
GRO
1 - 4
HER
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
HER
6 - 1
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |