Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
GAE
5 - 2
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
TEL
1 - 3
WIL
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ELI
0 - 1
WIL
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
WIL
0 - 0
PSV
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
MVV
3 - 1
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
ADO
2 - 2
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 0
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
HER
0 - 1
DWS
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SPA
6 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |