Willem II vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
FOR
1 - 4
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
WIL
0 - 2
PSV
34%
23%
43%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
FEY
3 - 2
WIL
77%
13%
9%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
VVD
0 - 0
WIL
67%
18%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
WIL
3 - 1
DVO
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1963 |
HER
2 - 1
VVD
43%
21%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1963 |
DVO
3 - 4
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
HER
4 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
ENS
0 - 0
HER
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
HER
1 - 2
SPA
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |