Willem II vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1998 |
PSV
1 - 0
WIL
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
NEC
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 5
VIT
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
UTR
2 - 0
WIL
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
TWE
5 - 1
WIL
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1998 |
SCH
1 - 1
MVV
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
AJA
0 - 0
SCH
74%
15%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1998 |
FCE
3 - 2
SCH
33%
22%
45%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
SCH
3 - 3
PSV
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1998 |
SCH
1 - 1
BVO
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |